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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Apr 1, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
1 - 0
Union

Fernandez (10')
Diaz (36'), Diaz (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vera (61')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 0-2 River Plate
Monday, March 20 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-3 Racing
Saturday, March 18 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Union had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawUnion
67.05% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 19.59% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04) 13.36% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.5% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (0.093000000000004 0.09)44.72% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (0.088999999999999 0.09)67.08% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (0.046999999999997 0.05)12.39% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.73% (0.097999999999999 0.1)38.27% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)44.64% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.35% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)80.65% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 67.05%
    Union 13.36%
    Draw 19.59%
River PlateDrawUnion
2-0 @ 12.06%
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.77% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.38% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 67.05%
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 19.59%
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.8% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05%
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 13.36%

Head to Head
Jun 19, 2022 10pm
Union
1-5
River Plate
Peralta (79')
Machuca (41'), Luna Diale (66')
Romero (16'), Fernandez (59'), Alvarez (73', 90+5'), Palavecino (87')
de la Cruz (43'), Perez (45+1'), Herrera (54')
Feb 12, 2022 10.15pm
Union
1-0
River Plate
Luna Diale (58' pen.)
Juarez (64'), Britez (66')

Martinez (26'), Gomez (34'), Armani (57'), Casco (60')
Jul 25, 2021 10pm
Feb 10, 2020 12.45am
Union
1-2
River Plate
Bou (47')
Blasi (85')
Fernandez (55'), Rojas (65')
Martinez (15'), Borre (58'), Quintero (89')
Jan 24, 2019 12am
River Plate
1-2
Union
Quintero (89')
Fernandez (45'), Sibille (49'), Ferreira (81')
Fragapane (37' pen.), Zabala (73')
Fernandez (44'), Fragapane (90')
rhs 2.0
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