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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
Defensa y Justicia

Arsenal
1 - 0
Defensa

Cejas (45+8' pen.)
Breitenbruch (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lopez (37'), Gissi (45+6'), Bologna (45+7'), Schamine (45+10')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Arsenal
Tuesday, September 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Defensa
Wednesday, September 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawDefensa y Justicia
31.58% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 27.49% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 40.92% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.58% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.07% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.93% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.16% (0.010999999999999 0.01)77.84% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86%33.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26%69.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (0.012999999999991 0.01)27.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.78% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 31.58%
    Defensa y Justicia 40.91%
    Draw 27.48%
Arsenal SarandiDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.58%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 11.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 40.91%

Head to Head
Jul 6, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 23
Arsenal
1-2
Defensa
Londono (21')
Londono (65')
Fernandez (68', 69')
Cardona (50')
Aug 1, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 11
Defensa
0-0
Arsenal
Navas (45+1'), Miloc (55')
Mar 21, 2022 10.15pm
Gameweek 7
Defensa
1-1
Arsenal
Frias (4' pen.)
Colombo (59')
Goni (72')
Aug 29, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Arsenal
0-0
Defensa
Hachen (27'), Soto (39'), Frias (89')
Apr 25, 2021 5.30pm
First Phase
Defensa
0-1
Arsenal
Unsain (8' og.)
Gariglio (6'), Jeremias Fernandez (80'), Picco (85'), Frias (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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