Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Malawi2 - 2Guinea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malawi 0-0 South Africa (3-5 pen.)
Sunday, July 16 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Sunday, July 16 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
We said: Malawi 0-1 Guinea
While Malawi and Guinea have nothing at stake here, we anticipate an action-packed affair at the Bingu National Stadium nonetheless. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we see Guinea coming out on top in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 48.61%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Malawi | Draw | Guinea |
48.61% ( -0.16) | 27% ( 0.04) | 24.38% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 45.53% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.35% ( -0.08) | 58.65% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.8% ( -0.06) | 79.2% ( 0.06) |
Malawi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.77% ( -0.11) | 24.23% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.43% ( -0.15) | 58.58% ( 0.15) |
Guinea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.09% ( 0.06) | 39.92% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.43% ( 0.05) | 76.58% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Malawi 48.61%
Guinea 24.38%
Draw 27%
Malawi | Draw | Guinea |
1-0 @ 13.71% 2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.61% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 24.38% |
How you voted: Malawi vs Guinea
Malawi
28.6%Draw
28.6%Guinea
42.9%7
Head to Head
Jun 9, 2022 5pm
Jan 10, 2022 4pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-14 07:03:16
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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