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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Ghana national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
Baba Yara Stadium
Central African Republic national football team

Ghana
2 - 1
CAR

Kudus (43'), Nuamah (88')
Djiku (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mafouta (25')
Pirioua (24'), Yangao (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ghana and Central African Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 0-0 Ghana
Sunday, June 18 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Central African Republic

Last Game: CAR 1-2 Angola
Saturday, June 17 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Ghana 2-0 Central African Republic

 With qualification on the line, we anticipate Ghana and Central African Republic to take the game to each other from the get-go. However, given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we fancy the Black Stars claiming all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 79.71%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 5.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.53%) and 3-0 (13.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (6.86%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result
GhanaDrawCentral African Republic
79.71% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 14.98% (0.039 0.04) 5.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 30.41% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.13% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)49.87% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14% (-0.07 -0.07)71.86% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)10.38% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.1% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)33.9% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.93% (0.012999999999998 0.01)66.07% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.54% (0.0049000000000001 0)93.45% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ghana 79.69%
    Central African Republic 5.31%
    Draw 14.98%
GhanaDrawCentral African Republic
2-0 @ 17.59%
1-0 @ 15.53% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 13.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.52% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.29% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 3.41% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 79.69%
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.022 0.02)
1-1 @ 6.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.98%
0-1 @ 2.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 5.31%

How you voted: Ghana vs CAR

Ghana
85.0%
Draw
5.0%
Central African Republic
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 2pm
Group Stage
CAR
1-1
Ghana
Namnganda (41')
Ndobe (23'), Lobi Manzoki (64')
Kudus (17')
Kyereh (66')
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