AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 27, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion Surkhon
Nasaf3 - 1Al-Faisaly
Lima (47'), Abdirahmatov (50'), Stanojevic (68')
Stanojevic (69'), Mozgovoy (76')
Stanojevic (69'), Mozgovoy (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bani Hani (45+6')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Nasaf and Al-Faisaly.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nasaf win with a probability of 43.66%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Al-Faisaly had a probability of 27.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nasaf win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for an Al-Faisaly win it was 0-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nasaf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nasaf | Draw | Al-Faisaly |
43.66% ( 0.05) | 28.99% ( 0.01) | 27.35% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.6% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
