Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
30.31% ( 0.04) | 24.22% ( 0) | 45.47% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.51% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.18% | 43.82% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.79% ( 0) | 66.21% ( 0) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.62% ( 0.03) | 27.38% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.15% ( 0.03) | 62.85% ( -0.03) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% ( -0.02) | 19.43% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.74% ( -0.03) | 51.26% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.31% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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