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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 12pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Arminia Bielefeld logos

St Pauli
2 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld

Hartel (53'), Daschner (69')
Saad (20'), Metcalfe (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Consbruch (73')
Ramos (16'), Andrade (33'), Klos (69')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Arminia Bielefeld.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamburger SV 4-3 St Pauli
Friday, April 21 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 Hannover
Saturday, April 22 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.

Result
St PauliDrawArminia Bielefeld
61.56% (0.617 0.62) 21.35% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 17.09% (-0.577 -0.58)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-1.061 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (-0.825 -0.83)45.07% (0.828 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (-0.798 -0.8)67.42% (0.8 0.8)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)14.12% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.25% (-0.152 -0.15)41.75% (0.155 0.16)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (-1.178 -1.18)39.78% (1.182 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (-1.104 -1.1)76.45% (1.107 1.11)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 61.56%
    Arminia Bielefeld 17.09%
    Draw 21.34%
St PauliDrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.36 0.36)
2-0 @ 10.76% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.03% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.44% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 61.56%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.34%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 17.09%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 13
Arminia Bielefeld
2-0
St Pauli
Serra (76', 84')
Lepinjica (17')
Dec 21, 2019 12pm
gameweek 18
St Pauli
3-0
Arminia Bielefeld
Veerman (3', 25'), Gyokeres (54')
Zander (60')
Jul 29, 2019 7.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
1-1
St Pauli
Prietl (90')
Behrendt (56'), Prietl (69')
Joe Conteh (32')
Miyaichi (79'), Hoffmann (90')
Apr 14, 2019 12.30pm
gameweek 29
St Pauli
1-1
Arminia Bielefeld
Miyaichi (48')
Yi-young (4'), Buchtmann (56'), Carstens (75')
Klos (5' pen.)
Voglsammer (45'), Behrendt (60'), Weihrauch (64')
Nov 4, 2018 12.30pm
gameweek 12
Arminia Bielefeld
1-2
St Pauli
Staude (7')
Staude (14'), Klos (54'), Lucoqui (82')
Knoll (49' pen.), Moller Daehli (55')
Nehrig (90'), Moller Daehli (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Pauli33199560352566
2Holstein Kiel33205863382565
3Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf33179769383160
4Hamburger SV331671060431755
5Karlsruher SCKarlsruher331410965481752
6Hannover331313758421652
7SC PaderbornSC Paderborn33147125253-149
8Hertha Berlin331391168571148
9Greuther Furth33138124849-147
10Schalke 04Schalke33127145358-543
11Elversberg33127144960-1143
12Nuremberg33117154260-1840
13Magdeburg33911134451-738
14Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig33115173748-1138
15KaiserslauternKaiserslautern33106175464-1036
16Wehen WiesbadenWiesbaden3388173548-1332
17Hansa RostockHansa Rostock3394202955-2631
18VfL OsnabruckOsnabruck33510182968-3925


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