World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Sep 7, 2021 at 5pm UK

Congo
1 - 3
Senegal

Ganvoula (45+2' pen.)
Mazikou (10'), Baron De Sylvain Kibamba (72'), Makouta (79'), Mafoumbi (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dia (27'), Sarr (82'), Mane (87' pen.)
Ballo-Toure (12'), Mane (36'), M'baye (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Congo and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Congo had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Congo win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.

Result
Congo	Draw	Senegal
30.26%	27.44%	42.3%

Both teams to score 48.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.85%

57.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.98%

78.02%

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78%

34.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08%

70.92%

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.31%

26.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.05%

61.95%

Score Analysis

Congo 30.26%

Senegal 42.29%

Draw 27.43%

Congo	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.28% Total : 30.26%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 12.06% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 7.97% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.51% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.29%