Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Togo had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Togo win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
