Women's Super League Gameweek 5
Oct 3, 2026 1.30pm
Old Trafford

Manchester United Women vs Liverpool Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 1.00pm
Man Utd 2 - 1 West Ham
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Simisola Feyishayo Awujo

Liverpool Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 2.00pm
Liverpool 2 - 0 Everton
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Grace Fisk

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Liverpool Women has a probability of 30.03% and a draw has a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Liverpool Women win is 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.73%).

Result

Manchester United Women 47.87% ▼ (-3.43)
Draw 22.16% ▲ (+0.49)
Liverpool Women 30.03% ▲ (+3.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.13% ▲ (+2.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.15% ▲ (+1.13)
Under 1.5 16.85% ▼ (-1.12)
Over 2.5 63.38% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 2.5 36.62% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 3.5 41.48% ▲ (+1.09)
Under 3.5 58.52% ▼ (-1.09)
Over 4.5 26.55% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 4.5 73.45% ▼ (-0.80)

First Half Winner

Manchester United Women 38.1% ▼ (-2.88)
Draw 34.68% ▲ (+0.94)
Liverpool Women 27.22% ▲ (+1.93)

Team To Score First

Manchester United Women 58.37% ▼ (-1.63)
No Goal 4.3% ▼ (-0.36)
Liverpool Women 37.33% ▲ (+1.97)

Corners

Over 8 57.6% ▼ (-2.80)
Equal 8 11.46% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 8 30.94% ▲ (+2.65)
Over 9 45.95% ▼ (-2.71)
Equal 9 11.65% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 42.4% ▲ (+2.80)
Over 10.5 35.08% ▼ (-2.43)
Under 10.5 64.92% ▲ (+2.43)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 1.5 51.7% ▼ (-1.86)
Under 1.5 48.3% ▲ (+1.86)
Over 2.5 26.9% ▼ (-1.80)
Under 2.5 73.1% ▲ (+1.79)
Over 3.5 11.29% ▼ (-1.23)
Under 3.5 88.71% ▲ (+1.22)

Liverpool Women Goals

Over 0.5 67.28% ▲ (+3.54)
Under 0.5 32.72% ▼ (-3.54)
Over 1.5 37.61% ▲ (+3.72)
Under 1.5 62.39% ▼ (-3.71)
Over 2.5 16.01% ▲ (+2.58)
Under 2.5 83.99% ▼ (-2.58)
Over 3.5 6.09% ▲ (+1.17)
Under 3.5 93.91% ▼ (-1.16)

Score analysis

Manchester United Women 47.87%
Draw 22.16%
Liverpool Women 30.03%
Manchester United Women
2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.20)
1-0 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.64)
2-0 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.43)
3-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.32)
3-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.21)
3-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.74)
Other @ 11.05% ▼ (-1.31)
Total : 47.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.36)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.27)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 22.16%
Liverpool Women
1-2 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.46)
0-1 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.38)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▲ (+0.52)
2-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.48)
0-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 5.85% ▲ (+1.07)
Total : 30.03%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 14
Feb 1, 2026 11.55am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
  • Lisa Fjeldstad Naalsund 52' goal
  • Lisa Fjeldstad Naalsund 60' goal
  • Fridolina Rolfö 66' yellowcard
  • Hanna Ester Lundkvist 77' yellowcard
  • Gabrielle Alishya George 85' yellowcard
  • Lea Schüller 85' yellowcard
  • Ellen Ingegerd Wangerheim 85' yellowcard
  • Fridolina Rolfö 87' goal
  • goal A. Bergström 59'
  • yellowcard Aurélie Csillag 66'
  • yellowcard Lily Susan Woodham 82'
  • yellowcard Mia Enderby 82'
  • yellowcard B. Olsson 86'
Women's Super League
Sep 28, 2025 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Super League Gameweek 16
Mar 14, 2025 7.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Anfield
  • Olivia Smith 42' goal
  • Fuka Nagano 45'+2' goal
  • Olivia Smith 67' goal
  • goal Maya Le Tissier 89'
Women's Super League Gameweek 9
Dec 8, 2024 12.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • Elisabeth Terland 33' goal
  • Leah Galton 34' goal
  • Dominique Bloodworth 59' goal
  • Maya Le Tissier 70' yellowcard
  • Melvine Malard 81' goal
  • Simisola Feyishayo Awujo 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jaz Matthews 6'
Women's Super League Gameweek 21
May 5, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Prenton Park
  • Jenna Clark 45'+3' goal
  • Gemma Bonner 84' yellowcard
  • redcard Matt Beard 0'
  • yellowcard Lucia Garcia 71'
  • yellowcard Hayley Ladd 79'
  • yellowcard Hayley Ladd 82'
Women's Super League Gameweek 10
Dec 17, 2023 12.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • Ella Toone 3' goal
  • Millie Turner 29' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emma Koivisto 8'
  • goal Millie Turner 32' (OG)
  • goal Taylor Hinds 68'
  • yellowcard Gemma Bonner 76'