Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a London City Lionesses W win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a London City Lionesses W win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.