Women's Super League
May 16, 2026 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Hayes Lane
  • Lucía Corrales Álvarez 45' yellowcard
  • Lucía Corrales Álvarez 46' yellowcard
  • Malou Marcetto Rylov 46' yellowcard
  • Daniëlle van de Donk 66' yellowcard
  • Nikita Josephine Parris 66' yellowcard
  • Daniëlle van de Donk 73' goal
  • Freya Godfrey 90'+3' goal
  • Julia Elisabeth Roddar 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Lynn Anke Hannie Wilms 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Rachel Daly 79'
  • yellowcard Ebony Salmon 79'
  • yellowcard Lucy Staniforth 80'
  • yellowcard Rachel Daly 80'
  • yellowcard Georgia Mullet 84'

London City Lionesses W vs Aston Villa Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

London City Lionesses W

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 3, 2026 12.00pm
Spurs 2 - 1 London City Lionesses W
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Freya Godfrey

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 9, 2026 12.00pm
Aston Villa 0 - 3 Arsenal
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Kirsty Hanson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a London City Lionesses W win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a London City Lionesses W win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

London City Lionesses W 44.38% (-1.20)
Draw 22.9% (-0.05)
Aston Villa Women 32.72% (+1.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.27% (+1.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.05% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 16.95% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 62.63% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 37.37% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 40.24% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 59.76% (+0.61)
Over 4.5 24.73% (-0.97)
Under 4.5 75.27% (+0.96)

First Half Winner

London City Lionesses W 37.89% (+1.86)
Draw 38.39% (-2.09)
Aston Villa Women 23.72% (+0.24)

Team To Score First

London City Lionesses W 56.39% (+1.64)
No Goal 4.03% (-0.26)
Aston Villa Women 39.58% (-1.38)

Corners

Over 8 68.88% (-2.97)
Equal 8 9.43% (+0.29)
Under 8 21.69% (+2.70)
Over 9 58.4% (-3.01)
Equal 9 10.48% (+0.05)
Under 9 31.12% (+2.98)
Over 10.5 47.66% (-2.82)
Under 10.5 52.34% (+2.82)

London City Lionesses W Goals

Over 1.5 49.31% (-0.88)
Under 1.5 50.69% (+0.88)
Over 2.5 24.91% (-1.00)
Under 2.5 75.09% (+1.00)
Over 3.5 11.25% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 88.75% (+0.58)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 68.42% (+1.07)
Under 0.5 31.58% (-1.07)
Over 1.5 39.02% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 60.98% (-0.78)
Over 2.5 16.65% (+0.28)
Under 2.5 83.35% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 5.48% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.52% (+0.02)

Score analysis

London City Lionesses W 44.38%
Draw 22.9%
Aston Villa Women 32.72%
London City Lionesses W
2-1 @ 8.37% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 6.23% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.46% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.32)
Other @ 10.8% (-0.48)
Total : 44.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 6.53% (+0.36)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.26)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.45% (-0.11)
Total : 22.9%
Aston Villa Women
1-2 @ 8.36% (+0.42)
0-1 @ 5.86% (+0.28)
0-2 @ 4.04% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.95% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.21% (+0.34)
Other @ 5.03% (+0.09)
Total : 32.72%

Head to Head

Women's Super League
Nov 16, 2025 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT