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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
 

Leicester Women
1 - 2
West Ham

Cain (90+9' pen.)
Mace (39')
Mace (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Howard (18' og.), Brynjarsdottir (60' pen.)
Parker (45+7'), Fisk (71'), Longhurst (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester Women and West Ham United Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea Women 6-0 Leicester Women
Wednesday, May 10 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 0-4 Chelsea Women
Wednesday, May 17 at 8.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Leicester Women 1-0 West Ham United Women

Although Leicester suffered a heavy 6-0 defeat to Chelsea in their most recent outing, they have managed to win their last two home games, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to edge out a West Ham side that are low on confidence following a 10-game winless league run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Women win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for West Ham United Women in this match.

Result
Leicester WomenDrawWest Ham United Women
31.78% (0.485 0.48) 24.17% (-0.108 -0.11) 44.04% (-0.379 -0.38)
Both teams to score 59.43% (0.619 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.05% (0.709 0.71)42.94% (-0.71 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.65% (0.698 0.7)65.34% (-0.69900000000001 -0.7)
Leicester Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (0.655 0.66)26% (-0.655 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.872 0.87)61.03% (-0.873 -0.87)
West Ham United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.31% (0.12599999999999 0.13)19.68% (-0.127 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.32% (0.203 0.2)51.67% (-0.203 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Leicester Women 31.78%
    West Ham United Women 44.04%
    Draw 24.17%
Leicester WomenDrawWest Ham United Women
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.64% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.088 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.78%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.085 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 3.66% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.059 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 44.04%

Head to Head
Nov 20, 2022 3pm
gameweek 8
West Ham
1-0
Leicester Women
Atkinson (88')
Walker (46')
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
gameweek 15
Leicester Women
3-0
West Ham
Flint (2'), Plumptre (9'), Gregory (50')
Flint (76'), Devlin (81'), O'Brien (90+3')
Sep 26, 2021 3pm
gameweek 3
West Ham
4-0
Leicester Women
Butt (26'), Walker (38'), Plumptre (45+1' og.), Levell (81' og.)
rhs 2.0
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1.15am
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