Women's Champions League Gameweek 3
Oct 29, 2026 8.00pm
Etihad Stadium

Manchester City Women vs Paris Saint-Germain Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Oct 1, 2026 8.00pm
Man City 1 - 1 Real Madrid

Paris Saint-Germain Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last game
Oct 1, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 5 - 0 OH Leuven W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women has a probability of 27.7% and a draw has a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win is 1-2 (6.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.6%).

Result

Manchester City Women 48.28% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 24.03%
Paris Saint-Germain Women 27.7% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.65% ▼ (-0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.02% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 21.98% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 56.15% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 43.85% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 34.79% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 65.21% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 22.25% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 77.75% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Manchester City Women 40.2%
Draw 33.92%
Paris Saint-Germain Women 25.88%

Team To Score First

Manchester City Women 51.52% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 6.24% ▲ (+0.05)
Paris Saint-Germain Women 42.24% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.17%
Equal 8 10.21%
Under 8 28.62%
Over 9 50.48%
Equal 9 10.69%
Under 9 38.83%
Over 10.5 40.14%
Under 10.5 59.86%

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 1.5 48.56% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 51.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 24.83% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 75.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 10.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 89.82% ▼ (-0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals

Over 0.5 62.4% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 37.6% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 32.4% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 67.6% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 13.1% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 86.9% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 4.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 95.62% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Manchester City Women 48.28%
Draw 24.03%
Paris Saint-Germain Women 27.71%
Manchester City Women
1-0 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 48.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.17% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 24.03%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
1-2 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 27.71%