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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 23, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
Waalwijk logo

Willem II
1 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

Pavlidis (54')
Pavlidis (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Anita (61')

Preview: Willem II vs. RKC Waalwijk - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Willem II and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Willem II and RKC Waalwijk square off in the Eredivisie on Friday evening knowing that victory could prove to be the difference between survival and relegation.

While the visitors hold a four-point advantage over the bottom three, Willem II are at risk of dropping into 17th spot after the recent resurgence of Emmen.


Match preview

Fred Grim, now in charge of RKC Waalwijk, pictured in 2017© Reuters

There was a time earlier in the season when teams such as Willem II and Waalwijk would have felt that they were playing to avoid finishing in 17th spot with Emmen seemingly out of the equation.

However, 15 points from seven games have put Emmen in contention for the most unlikely of survivals, heaping the pressure on these two teams to avoid a slip up on Friday night.

Sitting just a point above Emmen with a marginally worse goal difference, Willem II are more at risk, but defeat for Waalwijk would leave them with plenty to ponder ahead of the remaining four matches.

Both teams have suffered two successive defeats, although there can be little criticism of Waalwijk's effort during the 1-0 reverse against Ajax on April 11.

While Waalwijk boss Fred Grim would have preferred another fixture in quick succession, his opposite number Zeljko Petrovic has been left to mull over a 4-0 defeat at Heracles.

Although his side had put together a five-game unbeaten streak before that result, Willem II have now gone over 300 minutes without finding the back of the net.

Goals have also been a problem for Waalwijk with top goalscorer Finn Stokkers having just five strikes to his name, none of which have been netted during 2021.

Anas Tahiri scored his only effort of the campaign in December's reverse fixture, but the Belgian has two assists in his last five appearances.

Willem II Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

RKC Waalwijk Eredivisie form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L


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Team News

Petrovic was not shy in making substitutions during the last game after trailing 3-0 at half time, potentially an indication that mass changes should be expected for this contest.

Che Nunnely, Gorkem Saglam, Lindon Selahi, Jop van den Avert and Rick Zuijderwijk will all feel that they are in contention for a place in the starting lineup.

Barring any late fitness issues, Grim is unlikely to make any alterations to his Waalwijk starting lineup.

Stokkers and Sylla Sow are both alternatives in the final third, but Sebbe Augustijns is likely to remain on the substitutes' bench.

Willem II possible starting lineup:
Muric; Owusu, Van Beek, Holmen, Kohn; Tresor, Saddiki, Saglam; Nunnely, Wriedt, Pavlidis

RKC Waalwijk possible starting lineup:
Lamprou; Bakari, Meulensteen, Touba, Quasten; Venne, Anita, Tahiri; Daneels, Oosting, John


SM words green background

We say: Willem II 0-0 RKC Waalwijk

With both teams in two minds over whether to push for victory or simply try to avoid defeat, we expect a nervy affair. With that in mind, do not be surprised if this encounter ends in a drab share of the spoils, potentially without any goals.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Willem II in this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Willem II35228572314174
2Roda JC352011466313571
3Groningen35217767283970
4Dordrecht351812569462366
5ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag351611866452159
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap35185125548759
7Jong AZJong AZ35157135556-152
8NAC BredaNAC Breda35149125853551
9MVV MaastrichtMVV35148135955450
10EmmenEmmen35146155258-648
11Helmond SportHelmond35138144951-247
12Cambuur35136166768-145
13VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo35129144953-445
14Jong AjaxJong Ajax35109165262-1039
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven35815124254-1239
16Jong PSVJong PSV3597195676-2034
17TelstarTelstar3596204363-2033
18TOP OssOss35102232960-3132
19Den BoschDen Bosch3579193462-2830
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht3559212969-4024


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