Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
Brewery Field

Pen-y-Bont vs Briton Ferry - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Trefelin 0 - 1 Pen-y-Bont
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Tom Mehew

Briton Ferry

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Haverfordwest 3 - 1 Briton Ferry
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Ollie Anderson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Briton Ferry has a probability of 27.02% and a draw has a probability of 26.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Briton Ferry win is 0-1 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).

Result

Pen-y-Bont 46.05% ▲ (+2.17)
Draw 26.93% ▲ (+0.31)
Briton Ferry 27.02% ▼ (-2.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.36% ▲ (+1.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.49% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 29.51% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 45.56% ▲ (+0.82)
Under 2.5 54.44% ▼ (-0.82)
Over 3.5 23.8% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 3.5 76.2% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 4.5 12.85% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 4.5 87.15% ▼ (-0.54)

First Half Winner

Pen-y-Bont 34.82%
Draw 42.3% ▲ (+1.79)
Briton Ferry 22.88% ▼ (-1.80)

Team To Score First

Pen-y-Bont 55.34% ▲ (+1.58)
No Goal 8.81% ▼ (-0.31)
Briton Ferry 35.85% ▼ (-1.26)

Corners

Over 8 55.34% ▲ (+0.97)
Equal 8 12.23% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 8 32.43% ▼ (-0.42)
Over 9 43.1% ▲ (+1.46)
Equal 9 12.25% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 9 44.66% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 10.5 31.91% ▲ (+1.75)
Under 10.5 68.09% ▼ (-1.75)

Pen-y-Bont Goals

Over 1.5 40.93% ▲ (+2.05)
Under 1.5 59.07% ▼ (-2.05)
Over 2.5 17.33% ▲ (+1.72)
Under 2.5 82.67% ▼ (-1.72)
Over 3.5 5.9% ▲ (+0.60)
Under 3.5 94.1% ▼ (-0.60)

Briton Ferry Goals

Over 0.5 60.6% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 0.5 39.4% ▲ (+1.08)
Over 1.5 26.47% ▼ (-1.13)
Under 1.5 73.53% ▲ (+1.13)
Over 2.5 8.9% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 2.5 91.1% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 3.5 2.39% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 97.61% ▲ (+0.21)

Score analysis

Pen-y-Bont 46.03%
Draw 26.92%
Briton Ferry 27.01%
Pen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 12.32% ▲ (+0.42)
2-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.25)
2-0 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.34)
3-1 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.36)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.47)
Total : 46.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 4.63% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 26.92%
Briton Ferry
0-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.64)
1-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.38)
0-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.50)
1-3 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.23)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.26)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.33)
Total : 27.01%

Head to Head

Welsh Premier League
Dec 26, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chris Venables 8' redcard
  • James Crole 42' goal
  • Billy Borge 51' yellowcard
  • Owen Pritchard 55' yellowcard
  • 59' yellowcard
  • Kane Owen 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mitchell Bates 49'
  • yellowcard Ollie Anderson 51'
  • goal Alex Gammond 59'
  • yellowcard Keiran Williams 68'
Welsh Premier League
Oct 3, 2025 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bryntirion Park
  • Lewys Ware 6' yellowcard
  • Keyon Reffell 28' yellowcard
  • Clayton Green 67' yellowcard
  • James Crole 76' yellowcard
  • Kai Ludvigsen 83' yellowcard
  • Owen Pritchard 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Bates 6'
  • yellowcard Ellis Morgan Sage 20'
  • yellowcard Ricky-Lee Owen 67'
  • goal Thomas Walters 76'
  • yellowcard Kian Jenkins 87'
  • yellowcard Rhys Wilson 87'
Welsh Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 11, 2024 5.10pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Road
  • Alex Gammond 31' yellowcard
  • Kristian Evans 69' yellowcard
  • goal James Crole 41'
  • yellowcard Clayton Green 44'
  • goal James Crole 45'+3'