Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Mar 20, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue
Newtown logo

Aberystwyth
1 - 0
Newtown

Franklin (78')
Bradford (36'), Jones (43'), Franklin (83'), Owen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Neill (1'), Ofori (37'), Fletcher (41')
Ofori (54')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
31.42%23.89%44.69%
Both teams to score 60.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23%41.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83%64.17%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34%25.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44%60.56%
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07%18.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56%50.44%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 31.42%
    Newtown AFC 44.69%
    Draw 23.88%
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 7.48%
1-0 @ 6.61%
2-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.42%
1-1 @ 10.99%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 9.15%
0-1 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 6.73%
1-3 @ 5.08%
0-3 @ 3.73%
2-3 @ 3.45%
1-4 @ 2.11%
0-4 @ 1.55%
2-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 44.69%