Dec 18, 2020 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Tom Williams 13'
Sion Bradley 34'
Paulo Mendes 59'
Mike Hayes 77'
Sion Bradley 90'+4'

James O'Neill 31'
Jamie Breese 84'

Caernarfon Town vs Newtown AFC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

W
W
W
L
D
L

Welsh Premier League

W
W
W
L
D
L

Last game

Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm

Aberystwyth 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Goals scored

23

Top scorer

Mike Hayes

Newtown AFC

All competitions

L
L
L
D
W
L

Welsh Premier League

L
L
L
D
W
L

Last game

Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm

Newtown 0 - 4 New Saints

Goals scored

17

Top scorer

Nick Rushton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 23.68% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Caernarfon Town 53.36%

Draw 22.96%

Newtown AFC 23.68%

Both Teams to Score:

56.98%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.79%

Under 2.5 43.21%

Over 3.5 34.39%

Under 3.5 65.62%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 83.83%

Under 0.5 16.17%

Over 1.5 54.36%

Under 1.5 45.64%

Newtown AFC Goals

Over 0.5 67.97%

Under 0.5 32.03%

Over 1.5 31.5%

Under 1.5 68.5%

Score analysis

Caernarfon Town 53.36%

Draw 22.96%

Newtown AFC 23.68%

Caernarfon Town

2-1 @ 9.79%

1-0 @ 9.44%

2-0 @ 8.6%

3-1 @ 5.94%

3-0 @ 5.22%

3-2 @ 3.38%

4-1 @ 2.71%

4-0 @ 2.38%

4-2 @ 1.54%

Other @ 4.36%

Total : 53.36%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.74%

2-2 @ 5.57%

0-0 @ 5.18%

3-3 @ 1.28%

Other @ 0.18%

Total : 22.96%

Newtown AFC

1-2 @ 6.12%

0-1 @ 5.9%

0-2 @ 3.36%

1-3 @ 2.32%

2-3 @ 2.11%

0-3 @ 1.27%

Other @ 2.6%

Total : 23.68%

Head to Head

Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm

2

3

HT : 1 1

FT

Nick Rushton 16'
James Davies 30'
Ryan Edwards 39'
Jake Phillips 45'+2'
James Davies 51'

Paulo Mendes 45'+3'
Sion Bradley 59'
Darren Thomas 66'
Danny Brookwell 70'
Noah Edwards 79'
Ryan Williams 89'

Apr 17, 2020 7.45pm

Mar 6, 2020 7.45pm

3

1

HT : 0 1

FT

39'
Gareth Evans 58'
Gareth Evans 74'
Nathan Craig 84'

George Harry 26'
38'
70'
83'

Nov 8, 2019 7.45pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT G.F. Grigg Latham Park (Ydrenewydd / Newtown, Powys)

Kieran Mills-Evans 11'
Ian Sheridan 30'
Nick Rushton 52'

Cai Jones 69'

Sep 27, 2019 8.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Oval (Caernarfon, Gwynedd)

Alex Ramsey 51'
Jamie Breese 55'
Nathan Craig 93'

Craig Williams 30'
Lifumpa Mwandwe 48'
Alex Fletcher 51'

Apr 12, 2019 7.45pm

4

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Danny Brookwell 10'
Jamie Breese 33'
Darren Thomas 49'
Cai Jones 55'

Kieran Mills-Evans 83'

Form Data

Aberystwyth 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Barry

Druids 1 - 2 Caernarfon

Pen-y-Bont 6 - 0 Caernarfon

Caernarfon 1 - 1 Bala Town

Caernarfon 1 - 4 Haverfordwest

Newtown 0 - 4 New Saints

Cardiff MU 2 - 1 Newtown

Bala Town 3 - 1 Newtown

Barry 0 - 0 Newtown

Newtown 3 - 2 Flint Town

Newtown 0 - 2 Bala Town