Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 9, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Park Avenue
Bala Town logo

Aberystwyth
1 - 2
Bala Town

Davies (10')
Jones (16'), Williams (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Roberts (14' pen.), Nalatche Mendes (30')
Stephens (79'), Morris (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 67.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 13.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 2-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawBala Town
13.84%18.25%67.91%
Both teams to score 54.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.59%37.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36%59.63%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7%39.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99%76%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.91%10.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.77%33.22%
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 13.84%
    Bala Town 67.91%
    Draw 18.25%
Aberystwyth TownDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 3.97%
1-0 @ 3.7%
2-0 @ 1.73%
3-2 @ 1.42%
3-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 13.84%
1-1 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 4.55%
0-0 @ 3.96%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.25%
0-2 @ 10.43%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-1 @ 9.09%
0-3 @ 7.98%
1-3 @ 7.45%
0-4 @ 4.58%
1-4 @ 4.27%
2-3 @ 3.48%
0-5 @ 2.1%
2-4 @ 2%
1-5 @ 1.96%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 67.91%