Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
