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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Oct 10, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
 

Bala Town
5 - 2
Aberystwyth

Evans (39'), Smith (44'), Venables (57' pen., 60'), Correia (82')
Stephens (67'), Peate (76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Williams (24'), Hewitt (68' pen.)
(67')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Bala Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bala Town would win this match.

Result
Bala TownDrawAberystwyth Town
51.86%23.58%24.56%
Both teams to score 55.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92%45.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.57%67.43%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61%17.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.18%47.82%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71%32.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21%68.79%
Score Analysis
    Bala Town 51.86%
    Aberystwyth Town 24.56%
    Draw 23.57%
Bala TownDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.59%
3-1 @ 5.66%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.48%
4-0 @ 2.19%
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 51.86%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 5.62%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.35%
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 3.59%
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 24.56%