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Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Parma logo

Hellas Verona
2 - 1
Parma

Grassi (13' og.), Barak (62')
Silvestri (7'), Dimarco (39'), Gunter (52'), Lovato (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kucka (8' pen.)
Cornelius (36'), Mihaila (86')

Preview: Hellas Verona vs. Parma - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Hellas Verona will look to recover from back-to-back defeats on Monday evening, as they welcome prime relegation candidates Parma to Stadio Bentegodi.

The respective Gialloblu outfits meet as the visitors continue to endure a nightmarish period of 12 league games without a win - their worst-ever run in Serie A.


Match preview

Hellas Verona manager Ivan Juric pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Having struck the first turbulent patch of an otherwise solidly impressive season, Verona have continued their recent inconsistency in losing their last two league games. Coming after the Venetian side deservedly downed Napoli straight after defeat to lowly Bologna, recent reverses at the hands of Roma and Udinese were particularly disappointing.

Under much-admired coach Ivan Juric, they have never suffered three consecutive Serie A defeats though, so the demanding tactician will be doubly determined to take advantage of Parma's woes on Monday.

Now in ninth place in the standings, Hellas were defeated 2-0 by Udinese at the Dacia Arena last time out, where Juric was - for once - tactically culpable for his team's downfall.

An experiment that saw new signing Kevin Lasagna - just arrived from Udinese - and Nikola Kalinic feature together in a front pairing looks likely to be consigned to the dustbin of history, so one of the misfiring strikers will surely make way this week.

Reverting to type, Verona will seek to become the 19th club to reach 1000 goals in Serie A history, as they currently sit on 998 and face opponents whose confidence ebbs further away game by game. The hosts' seasonal tally of 26 goals so far is the worst figure among sides in the top half of the table, so this may prove an ideal opportunity to finally fill their boots.

Never having drawn a home encounter with Parma in the top flight, Hellas have won six of the clubs' last eight meetings in Veneto - including each of the last four.

Parma manager Roberto D'Aversa pictured in June 2020© Reuters

The bleakest of bleak mid-winters continued for Roberto D'Aversa's Parma side last time out, as they were beaten 3-0 against Emilian rivals Bologna at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Despite adding several attacking options to a shot-shy squad in the January window, D'Aversa again went with a relatively conservative lineup on home soil, which singularly failed to pay off.

With just two goals in the last ten rounds, their Serie A survival is now seriously on the line, as the teams above them start to pick up precious points. In dire need of a quick reversal in fortunes, Parma are above only bottom side Crotone, with a meagre 13 points from 21 fixtures in their disastrous 2020-21 campaign.

Dating back to the end of November, when former manager Fabio Liverani was still in charge, their win-free streak is far from the only ugly statistic they have stacked up this term.

Since December, Parma have failed to score in nine league games and have not even registered once in their last eight home matches in the top flight, with only Sampdoria's record of nine back in 1972 representing a worse such run in Serie A history.

Returning to the dugout he vacated only last summer, D'Aversa certainly walked into a messy situation when succeeding Liverani, but has yet to inspire a turnaround in results. Both bosses' frantic search for a winning formula has bred confusion, as Parma are - along with Ligue 1's Saint-Etienne - one of two teams to have used the most players in the top five European leagues so far - a staggering 36.

One of Liverani's few successes while in charge, Parma won the last meeting between these two teams - emerging victorious 1-0 at the Tardini in early October, when Jasmin Kurtic scored what ultimately proved to be the winner in the opening minute. His luckless successor would dearly love to repeat the dose on Monday and take a first step towards salvation.

Hellas Verona Serie A form: DWLWLL

Parma Serie A form: LLDLLL
Parma form (all competitions): LDLLLL


Team News

Lazio's Luis Alberto in action with Hellas Verona's Miguel Veloso on February 5, 2020© Reuters

Once again, Hellas skipper Miguel Veloso is expected to miss out due to a thigh injury, while Federico Ceccherini and Marco Benassi are also unavailable and striker Andrea Favilli is a serious doubt. Additionally, Ivan Juric will have to cope without regular starters Mattia Zaccagni - the club's top scorer and chief creative force - and wing-back Davide Faraoni, who both serve suspensions.

Darko Lazovic should switch to the right flank to cover Faraoni, with Federico Dimarco potentially starting on the left. Zaccagni's absence could provide an opportunity for Daniel Bessa to start, providing Juric does not continue with both Kevin Lasagna and Nikola Kalinic in a conventional front two.

Parma still suffer from a significant injury list, but have plenty of bodies to step in, given their bloated squad. Andreas Cornelius injured his left thigh last week and will have to sit out the trip north, while Maxime Busi and Lautaro Valenti are still out of commission - also with thigh strains.

However, both Simone Iacoponi and Giuseppe Pezzella should be back in the squad on Monday, with striker Roberto Inglese also re-joining training after being absent for personal reasons.

As it is unlikely that Inglese will be thrown straight back into the deep end to replace the stricken Cornelius, there is speculation that loan signing Joshua Zirkzee, of Bayern Munich, may be given a first start up front. Fellow new boy Dennis Man is also a candidate to join Gervinho in an attacking trident for the visitors.

Hellas Verona possible starting lineup:
Silvestri; Dawidowicz, Gunter, Magnani; Lazovic, Tameze, Ilic, Dimarco; Barak, Bessa; Kalinic

Parma possible starting lineup:
Sepe; Conti, Alves, Bani, Gagliolo; Kucka, Hernani, Kurtic; Mihaila, Zirkzee, Gervinho


SM words green background

We say: Hellas Verona 1-0 Parma

Two of the weakest attacks in the league go head-to-head on Monday night, with the most inspirational player on either side sitting the game out through suspension.

Even in the absence of highly-rated Mattia Zaccagni, Verona can still muster up enough offensive guile to pick off Parma's ever-changing back line and further extend the visitors' dark days of winter.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Written by
Jonathan O'Shea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Parma had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs Parma

Hellas Verona
73.8%
Draw
17.4%
Parma
8.7%
172
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