Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.65% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.98%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%) , while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.