Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Mexico United win with a probability of 79.63%. A draw had a probability of 11.11% and a win for Cruizers had a probability of 9.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Mexico United win was 3-0 with a probability of 7.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.51%) and 3-1 (6.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.35%) , while for a Cruizers win it was 1-2 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.