Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Deportivo Maldonado.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 46.74% | 26.4% | 26.87% |
| Both teams to score 49.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.16% | 54.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.86% | 76.14% |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% | 23.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% | 57.45% |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.36% | 35.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.59% | 72.41% |
| Score Analysis |
River Plate 46.74%
Deportivo Maldonado 26.87%
Draw 26.39%
| River Plate | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.74% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.99% Total : 26.87% |


