Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Mar 8, 2021 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Francisco Duarte 57' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Vega 72' goal
  • Franco Perez 74' yellowcard
  • goal Fabricio Fernandez 12'
  • goal Martin Marta 18'
  • yellowcard Federico Laens 36'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Fernandez 65'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Loffreda 73'
  • goal Joel Lew 88'
  • yellowcard Joel Lew 88'

Rentistas vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rentistas

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 1, 2021 8.00pm
Plaza Colonia 5 - 0 Rentistas

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Mar 2, 2021 8.00pm
Progreso 1 - 1 Maldonado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Rentistas win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result

Rentistas 25.8%
Draw 26.46%
Progreso 47.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.25%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.25%
Under 2.5 55.75%
Over 3.5 23.11%
Under 3.5 76.89%

Rentistas Goals

Over 0.5 62.96%
Under 0.5 37.04%
Over 1.5 26.18%
Under 1.5 73.82%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 76.63%
Under 0.5 23.37%
Over 1.5 42.65%
Under 1.5 57.35%

Score analysis

Rentistas 25.8%
Draw 26.45%
Progreso 47.74%
Rentistas
1-0 @ 8.6%
2-1 @ 6.21%
2-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.49%
3-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.66%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.45%
Progreso
0-1 @ 12.58%
0-2 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 9.08%
0-3 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.61%
1-4 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 47.74%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Nov 10, 2020 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Belvedere
  • Lucas Ferreira 73' yellowcard
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 11
Sep 9, 2020 4.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Facundo Moreira 76' goal
  • Gustavo Alles 81' goal
  • Gustavo Alles 84' yellowcard
  • goal Salomon Rodriguez 5'
  • yellowcard Ramiro Cristobal 67'
  • yellowcard 69'
  • goal Santiago Romero 82'
  • yellowcard Alexis Rolin 88'