Wanderers
0 - 1
Penarol

Rivero (16'), Martinez (64'), Morales (74'), Federico Wagner Canabal (79'), Wagner (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Torres (21')
Gonzalez (29'), Kagelmacher (33'), Piquerez (62'), Gargano (70'), Acosta (74')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Penarol
28.79%	27.42%	43.78%

Both teams to score 47.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.34%

57.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.58%

78.42%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.38%

35.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.62%

72.38%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85%

26.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77%

61.23%

Score Analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 28.79%

Penarol 43.78%

Draw 27.42%

Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.71% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.02% Total : 28.79%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 12.49% 1-2 @ 8.65% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.78%