Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 35.62%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.12%) and 1-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (13.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood.