Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and River Plate.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | River Plate |
| 43.68% | 27.81% | 28.51% |
| Both teams to score 46.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.86% | 59.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.43% | 79.57% |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% | 26.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% | 62.2% |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% | 36.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.58% | 73.42% |
| Score Analysis |
Cerro Largo 43.67%
River Plate 28.51%
Draw 27.81%
| Cerro Largo | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.93% Total : 43.67% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.85% Total : 28.51% |


