Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Jul 16, 2020 at 3pm UK
Butovsky Vorskla Stadium

Vorskla
1 - 2
Mariupol

Pavliuk (46')
Chelyadin (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Churko (56' pen.), Kyryukhantsev (86')
Ihnatenko (40'), Kulakov (59'), Myshnyov (66'), Bykov (69')
Ihnatenko (51')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawMariupol
42.57%26.32%31.11%
Both teams to score 51.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44%52.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78%74.22%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.53%24.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.09%58.91%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.77%31.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.42%67.57%
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 42.56%
    Mariupol 31.11%
    Draw 26.32%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawMariupol
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 42.56%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.64%
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.11%

rhs 2.0


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