Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Jun 13, 2020 at 12pm UK
Stadion im. Volodymyra Boyka

Mariupol
1 - 1
Vorskla

Topalov (74')
Bykov (14'), Ihnatenko (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Yakubu (59')
Puclin (27'), Sapai (90+4')
Perduta (90+5')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Vorskla Poltava.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
MariupolDrawVorskla Poltava
40.25%25.95%33.8%
Both teams to score 54.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73%50.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78%72.22%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37%24.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85%59.15%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69%28.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97%64.03%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 40.25%
    Vorskla Poltava 33.8%
    Draw 25.95%
MariupolDrawVorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 6.84%
3-1 @ 4.03%
3-0 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.8%