Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Butovsky Vorskla Stadium

Vorskla
0 - 1
Dnipro-1


Sklyar (4'), Thill (45+1'), Chelyadin (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dovbyk (40')
Douglas (17'), Kogut (34')
Douglas (54')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Dnipro-1.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dnipro-1 in this match.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawDnipro-1
35.12%25.16%39.72%
Both teams to score 57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.44%46.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17%68.83%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26%25.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.33%60.67%
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75%23.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83%57.16%
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 35.12%
    Dnipro-1 39.72%
    Draw 25.15%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 8.12%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 5.51%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 35.12%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 5.98%
2-2 @ 5.87%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 4.2%
0-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 39.72%