Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Dec 6, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin
Desna1 - 0Vorskla
Tamm (90+4')
Ermakov (30'), Kalitvintsev (74')
Ermakov (30'), Kalitvintsev (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stepanyuk (19'), Yavorskyi (80')
Stepanyuk (84')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Vorskla Poltava.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Desna Chernihiv in this match.
| Result | ||
| Desna Chernihiv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 50.89% | 24.81% | 24.29% |
| Both teams to score 51.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
