Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Dec 6, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin

Desna
1 - 0
Vorskla

Tamm (90+4')
Ermakov (30'), Kalitvintsev (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stepanyuk (19'), Yavorskyi (80')
Stepanyuk (84')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Vorskla Poltava.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Desna Chernihiv in this match.

Result
Desna ChernihivDrawVorskla Poltava
50.89%24.81%24.29%
Both teams to score 51.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.48%50.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55%72.44%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15%19.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05%51.94%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51%35.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75%72.25%
Score Analysis
    Desna Chernihiv 50.89%
    Vorskla Poltava 24.29%
    Draw 24.81%
Desna ChernihivDrawVorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 9.54%
2-0 @ 9.21%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.89%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.3%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 3.78%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.29%

rhs 2.0


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