Shakhtar

2 - 1

Dnipro-1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 19.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.