Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Romania Under-21s had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Romania Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Under-21s would win this match.