European Under-21s Championship | Group Stage
Jun 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadionul Steaua, Bucuresti
Spain national football team

Romania U21s
0 - 3
Spain U21s

FT(HT: 0-0)
Baena (55'), Miranda (62'), Gomez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Under-21 Championship clash between Romania Under-21s and Spain Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Germany U21s 0-0 Romania U21s
Tuesday, March 30 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship
Last Game: Spain U21s 0-1 Portugal U21s
Thursday, June 3 at 5pm in European Under-21 Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Romania Under-21s had a probability of 14.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Romania Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Romania Under-21sDrawSpain Under-21s
14.72% (-23.571 -23.57)18.58% (-1.99 -1.99)66.71% (25.561 25.56)
Both teams to score 55.81% (-19.444 -19.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.03% (-13.795 -13.8)36.97% (13.793 13.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.84% (-16.658 -16.66)59.16% (16.658 16.66)
Romania Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.19% (-24.062 -24.06)37.81% (24.062 24.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42% (-33.562 -33.56)74.58% (33.562 33.56)
Spain Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.73% (2.491 2.49)10.26% (-2.492 -2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.37% (5.396 5.4)33.63% (-5.397 -5.4)
Score Analysis
    Romania Under-21s 14.72%
    Spain Under-21s 66.7%
    Draw 18.58%
Romania Under-21sDrawSpain Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.18% (-2.931 -2.93)
1-0 @ 3.77% (0.294 0.29)
2-0 @ 1.84% (-1.617 -1.62)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-3.3 -3.3)
3-1 @ 1.36% (-3.348 -3.35)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 14.72%
1-1 @ 8.59% (1.427 1.43)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-2.563 -2.56)
0-0 @ 3.88% (2.127 2.13)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-2.154 -2.15)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.58%
0-2 @ 10.05% (6.333 6.33)
1-2 @ 9.78% (2.405 2.41)
0-1 @ 8.83% (5.224 5.22)
0-3 @ 7.63% (5.08 5.08)
1-3 @ 7.42% (2.359 2.36)
0-4 @ 4.34% (3.03 3.03)
1-4 @ 4.22% (1.618 1.62)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-1.414 -1.41)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.531 -0.53)
0-5 @ 1.98% (1.436 1.44)
1-5 @ 1.92% (0.85 0.85)
2-5 @ 0.94% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 66.7%

How you voted: Romania U21s vs Spain U21s

Romania Under-21s
2.9%
Draw
8.6%
Spain Under-21s
88.6%
35
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2019 5.45pm
International Friendlies
Spain U21s
1-0
Romania U21s
Merino (66')
Merino (27')

Dragus (50'), Gheorghe (55'), Stefan (64')