Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania Under-21s win with a probability of 95.37%. A draw had a probability of 4.2% and a win for Malta Under-21s had a probability of 0.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 19.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.62%) and 4-0 (16.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.78%), while for a Malta Under-21s win it was 0-1 (0.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania Under-21s would win this match.