Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aliağa FAŞ win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Genclerbirligi had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aliağa FAŞ win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Genclerbirligi win was 0-1 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.