Europa League
Aug 27, 2026 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stockhorn Arena
  • Simon Lengen 22' goal
  • Nico Maier 32' yellowcard
  • Furkan Dursun 43' goal
  • Louis Passavant 75' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Gumny 17'
  • yellowcard Gustav Berggren 40'
  • yellowcard Patrik Wålemark 53'
  • goal Patrik Wålemark 68'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Skrzypczak 90'+1'

Thun vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Thun

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 6.00pm
Lech Poznan 7 - 0 Thun

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Aug 20, 2026 6.00pm
Lech Poznan 7 - 0 Thun

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Thun had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Thun win was 2-1 (6.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Thun 28.01%
Draw 22.41% (-0.06)
Lech Poznan 49.61% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.99% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.02% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 15.98% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 65.05% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 34.95% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 42.85% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 57.15% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 27.68% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 72.32% (-0.14)

First Half Winner

Thun 20.17% (-0.12)
Draw 36.23% (-0.11)
Lech Poznan 43.6% (+0.22)

Team To Score First

Thun 34.24% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.06% (-0.02)
Lech Poznan 61.7% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 57.52% (-0.09)
Equal 8 10.04%
Under 8 32.44% (+0.08)
Over 9 47.26% (-0.09)
Equal 9 10.26%
Under 9 42.48% (+0.09)
Over 10.5 37.53% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 62.47% (+0.08)

Thun Goals

Over 1.5 36.19% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.81% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 15.71%
Under 2.5 84.29%
Over 3.5 5.56%
Under 3.5 94.44%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 80.94% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 19.06% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 54.77% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 45.23% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 29.65% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 70.35% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 13.35% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 86.65% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Thun 28.01%
Draw 22.41%
Lech Poznan 49.6%
Thun
2-1 @ 6.78% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 4.97%
2-0 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.04)
Other @ 5.05% (+0.01)
Total : 28.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.11%
Other @ 0.51% (-0.02)
Total : 22.41%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 9.08% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.52% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.59% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.51% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.09%
Other @ 12.84% (+0.11)
Total : 49.6%

Head to Head

Europa League
Aug 20, 2026 6.00pm
7
0
HT : 5 0
FT Enea stadion
  • Patrik Wålemark 10' goal
  • Allahyar Sayyadmanesh 20' goal
  • Patrik Wålemark 25' goal
  • Mateusz Skrzypczak 31' goal
  • Radosław Murawski 45' goal
  • Daniel Håkans 48' goal
  • Robert Gumny 79' goal
  • Radosław Murawski 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nils Reichmuth 50'
  • yellowcard T. Strannegård 70'