Taca de Portugal
Oct 17, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio de São Luís
  • Gabriel Barbosa 2' goal
  • João Resende 16' goal
  • 30' yellowcard
  • 34' yellowcard
  • Toni Herrero 71' goal
  • 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 60'
  • yellowcard 70'

SC Farense vs AD Marco 09 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

AD Marco 09

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.72% and a win for AD Marco 09 had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.12%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%) , while for a AD Marco 09 win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

SC Farense 53.39% ▲ (+1.39)
Draw 25.72% ▼ (-0.49)
AD Marco 09 20.89% ▼ (-0.90)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.23% ▲ (+1.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.3% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 1.5 27.7% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 48.06% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 2.5 51.94% ▼ (-0.66)
Over 3.5 25.68% ▲ (+1.38)
Under 3.5 74.32% ▼ (-1.38)
Over 4.5 15.04% ▲ (+1.20)
Under 4.5 84.96% ▼ (-1.21)

First Half Winner

SC Farense 38.83% ▲ (+1.95)
Draw 43.66% ▼ (-0.86)
AD Marco 09 17.5% ▼ (-1.11)

Team To Score First

SC Farense 60.58% ▲ (+1.79)
No Goal 8.52% ▼ (-0.34)
AD Marco 09 30.9% ▼ (-1.47)

Corners

Over 8 59.55% ▲ (+1.42)
Equal 8 11.1% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 8 29.35% ▼ (-1.52)
Over 9 48.1% ▲ (+1.21)
Equal 9 11.46% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 9 40.45% ▼ (-1.42)
Over 10.5 37.22% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 10.5 62.78% ▼ (-0.90)

SC Farense Goals

Over 1.5 47.91% ▲ (+1.40)
Under 1.5 52.09% ▼ (-1.40)
Over 2.5 22.84% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 2.5 77.16% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 3.5 8.67% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 3.5 91.33% ▼ (-0.54)

AD Marco 09 Goals

Over 0.5 55.76% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 0.5 44.24% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 1.5 22.08% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 77.92% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 6.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.76% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 98.24% ▼ (-0.14)

Score analysis

SC Farense 53.39%
Draw 25.7%
AD Marco 09 20.89%
SC Farense
1-0 @ 12.09% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.24)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.42)
Other @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.53)
Total : 53.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.7%
AD Marco 09
0-1 @ 7.07% ▼ (-0.22)
1-2 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.41)
0-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.26)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 20.89%

Head to Head

Taca de Portugal
Oct 19, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT