Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lusitania win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Sao Joao Ver had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lusitania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Sao Joao Ver win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.