Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 23, 2024 at 12pm UK
Campo de Jogos de Sao Mateus da Calheta

Lusitania
0 - 2
Sao Joao Ver


Cavalcante Fernandes Filho (43'), Isabelinha Damaso (67'), Bernardo do Rio (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro Fernandes Batista (58'), Pedro Coimbra Chaves (65')
Oliveira Barbosa (14'), Rodrigues Azevedo Tavares (38'), Edgar Azevedo Nunes Almeida (50'), Jorge Barros Pimentel Lima (90+1')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Lusitania and Sao Joao Ver.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lusitania

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Last Game: Penafiel 2-3 Lusitania
Monday, October 21 at 11am in Taca de Portugal
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Sao Joao Ver

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Last Game: Sao Joao Ver 4-1 Paredes
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lusitania win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Sao Joao Ver had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lusitania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Sao Joao Ver win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
LusitaniaDrawSao Joao Ver
48.74% (0.012999999999998 0.01)25.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)26.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.49% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)50.34% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)72.29% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Lusitania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)20.67% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.74% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)53.26% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Sao Joao Ver Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)33.83% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)70.49% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lusitania 48.74%
    Sao Joao Ver 26.13%
    Draw 25.12%
LusitaniaDrawSao Joao Ver
1-0 @ 11.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42%
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.95%
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 48.74%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 26.13%