Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paredes win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Sao Joao Ver had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paredes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Sao Joao Ver win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.