Taca de Portugal
Oct 16, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves vs Os Marialvas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Os Marialvas

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chaves win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw has a probability of 24.09% and a win for Os Marialvas has a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.12%) , while for a Os Marialvas win it is 0-1 (6.59%).

Result

Chaves 54.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Os Marialvas 21.08% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.01% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 27.57% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 48.55% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 51.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 26.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 73.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.41% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Chaves 34.6% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 48.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Os Marialvas 16.53%

Team To Score First

Chaves 59.33% ▼ (-0.20)
No Goal 8.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Os Marialvas 32.24% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 36.1% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 8 11.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 52.44% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 9 26.3% ▼ (-0.24)
Equal 9 9.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 63.9% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 10.5 18.54% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 10.5 81.46% ▲ (+0.20)

Chaves Goals

Over 1.5 48.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 23.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 76.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 90.85% ▲ (+0.02)

Os Marialvas Goals

Over 0.5 54.44% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 45.56% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 21.91% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 78.09% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 6.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 93.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.1% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chaves 54.88%
Draw 24.11%
Os Marialvas 21.08%
Chaves
1-0 @ 12.62%
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 2.86%
Other @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 54.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.11%
Os Marialvas
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.08%