Taca de Portugal
Sep 20, 2026 3.00pm

Ovarense vs Os Marialvas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ovarense

Os Marialvas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ovarense win with a probability of 51.61%. A draw has a probability of 25.74% and a win for Os Marialvas has a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ovarense win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.96%) , while for a Os Marialvas win it is 0-1 (6.98%).

Result

Ovarense 51.61% (-0.42)
Draw 25.74% (+0.22)
Os Marialvas 22.65% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.11% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.41% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 27.59% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 47.88% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 52.12% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 27.36% (+0.90)
Under 3.5 72.64% (-0.90)
Over 4.5 16.58% (+1.18)
Under 4.5 83.42% (-1.18)

First Half Winner

Ovarense 39.02% (+5.50)
Draw 43.28% (-2.36)
Os Marialvas 17.7% (-3.15)

Team To Score First

Ovarense 60.61% (+4.93)
No Goal 8.2%
Os Marialvas 31.19% (-4.92)

Corners

Over 8 49.84% (+5.79)
Equal 8 11.23% (+0.13)
Under 8 38.92% (-5.90)
Over 9 39.06% (+5.21)
Equal 9 10.78% (+0.59)
Under 9 50.16% (-5.79)
Over 10.5 29.5% (+4.31)
Under 10.5 70.5% (-4.32)

Ovarense Goals

Over 1.5 46.2% (-0.83)
Under 1.5 53.8% (+0.83)
Over 2.5 22.51% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 77.49% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 9.84% (+0.81)
Under 3.5 90.16% (-0.80)

Os Marialvas Goals

Over 0.5 55.84% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 44.16% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 23.55% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 76.45% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 8.14% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 91.86% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 2.45% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 97.55% (-0.32)

Score analysis

Ovarense 51.61%
Draw 25.75%
Os Marialvas 22.65%
Ovarense
1-0 @ 12.42% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 8.97% (-0.69)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.44)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.25)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.25)
3-2 @ 2.29% (+0.21)
Other @ 9.54% (+0.69)
Total : 51.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% (+0.24)
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.3% (+0.11)
Total : 25.75%
Os Marialvas
0-1 @ 6.98% (+0.33)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.36)
0-2 @ 3.6% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 1.91% (+0.14)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.15% (+0.20)
Total : 22.65%