Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sion win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Lugano win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
