Lugano

1 - 1

Thun

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Thun had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Thun win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.