Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 72.83%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Guyana had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 3-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Guyana win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Suriname would win this match.