Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 8
Oct 18, 2026 11.30am
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 6.00pm
Galatasaray 3 - 1 Kasimpasa
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Adrian Benedyczak

Samsunspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 2.00pm
Samsunspor 0 - 3 Trabzonspor
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Logi Tómasson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Samsunspor win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Kasimpasa has a probability of 34.39% and a draw has a probability of 29.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win is 1-0 (11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.2%).

Result

Kasimpasa 34.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 29.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Samsunspor 36.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.59% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.98% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 33.02% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 41.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 58.71% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 20.54% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 79.46% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 10.39% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 89.61% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Kasimpasa 25.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 47.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Samsunspor 26.67% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Kasimpasa 44.36% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 10.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Samsunspor 44.99% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 56.02% ▲ (+0.31)
Equal 8 12.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 31.82% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 9 43.77% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 9 12.24% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 43.98% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 10.5 32.53% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 67.47% ▼ (-0.18)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 1.5 30.66% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 69.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 10.48% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 89.52% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.07% ▼ (-0.03)

Samsunspor Goals

Over 0.5 67.03% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 32.97% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 32.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 67.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 88.45% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Kasimpasa 34.4%
Draw 29.42%
Samsunspor 36.19%
Kasimpasa
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 34.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.65% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 29.42%
Samsunspor
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 7.78% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 36.19%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig
Jan 30, 2026 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
  • Cem Ustundag 63' yellowcard
  • Jim Allevinah 63' yellowcard
  • Cem Üstündag 63' yellowcard
  • Cenk Tosun 76' yellowcard
  • Mamadou Fall 85' yellowcard
  • Kubilay Kanatsizkus 85' yellowcard
  • Kubilay Kanatsızkuş 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marius Mouandilmadji 74'
  • yellowcard Celil Yuksel 74'
  • yellowcard Joe Mendes 74'
  • yellowcard Celil Yüksel 74'
  • goal Jaures Assoumou 90'+2'
  • goal Jaurès Assoumou 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Yunus Cift 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Yunus Emre Çift 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Toni Borevkovic 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Toni Borevković 90'+6'
Turkish Super Lig
Sep 17, 2025 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 29
Mar 29, 2025 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Landry Dimata 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno da Costa 5'
  • yellowcard Kamil Piatkowski 28'
  • goal Mamadou Fall 68'
  • goal Nuno da Costa 80'
  • yellowcard Kevin Rodrigues 90'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2024 2.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Mortadha Ben Ouannes 16' yellowcard
  • Aytac Kara 31' goal
  • Aytac Kara 36' yellowcard
  • Haris Hajradinovic 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Nicholas Opoku 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Olivier Ntcham 49'
  • yellowcard Rick van Drongelen 45'+5'
  • goal Carlo Holse 68'
  • goal Soner Aydogdu 71'
  • goal Carlo Holse 77'
  • goal Flavien Tait 86'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
  • Aytac Kara 3' goal
  • Mamadou Fall 41' yellowcard
  • Andreas Gianniotis 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Landry Dimata 72'
  • yellowcard Rick van Drongelen 78'
  • yellowcard Moryke Fofana 83'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 1.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadyum Samsun
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 11' goal
  • Marius Mouandilmadji 22' goal
  • Olivier Ntcham 44' yellowcard
  • Emre Kilinc 60' goal
  • Olivier Ntcham 75' goal
  • goal Yasin Ozcan 90'+1'
  • goal Nuno da Costa 90'+5'