Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Giresunspor had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Giresunspor win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.