Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 61.08%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 19.57% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.68%) and 3-1 (7.29%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-2 (5.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.