Europa League Gameweek 1
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium of Light
  • Trai Hume 22' yellowcard
  • Omar Alderete 30' yellowcard
  • Enzo Le Fée 66' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ayoub Oufkir 38'
  • yellowcard Weslley Patati 64'

Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result

Sunderland 31.08% (-1.77)
Draw 22.99% (-0.77)
AZ Alkmaar 45.89% (+2.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.75% (-0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.74% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 21.26% (-0.44)
Over 2.5 56.88% (+0.85)
Under 2.5 43.12% (-0.85)
Over 3.5 34.09% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 65.91% (-0.58)
Over 4.5 20.65% (+0.72)
Under 4.5 79.35% (-0.72)

First Half Winner

Sunderland 18.98% (-1.88)
Draw 39.45% (-0.62)
AZ Alkmaar 41.57% (+2.50)

Team To Score First

Sunderland 34.75% (-4.11)
No Goal 5.69% (-0.14)
AZ Alkmaar 59.56% (+4.25)

Corners

Over 8 59.07% (-2.57)
Equal 8 11.59% (+0.09)
Under 8 29.34% (+2.47)
Over 9 47.13% (-2.40)
Equal 9 11.94% (-0.17)
Under 9 40.93% (+2.57)
Over 10.5 35.88% (-2.02)
Under 10.5 64.12% (+2.03)

Sunderland Goals

Over 1.5 34.51% (-1.39)
Under 1.5 65.49% (+1.38)
Over 2.5 14.68% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 85.32% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 4.97% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 95.03% (+0.30)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 76.2% (+1.32)
Under 0.5 23.8% (-1.31)
Over 1.5 46.32% (+2.04)
Under 1.5 53.68% (-2.04)
Over 2.5 22.51% (+1.79)
Under 2.5 77.49% (-1.79)
Over 3.5 9.16% (+1.07)
Under 3.5 90.84% (-1.07)

Score analysis

Sunderland 31.08%
Draw 23%
AZ Alkmaar 45.89%
Sunderland
2-1 @ 7.22% (-0.41)
1-0 @ 6.5% (-0.50)
2-0 @ 4.28% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.72% (-0.30)
Total : 31.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32% (-0.43)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.20)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.25% (+0.02)
Total : 23%
AZ Alkmaar
0-1 @ 9.04% (+0.19)
1-2 @ 8.68% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 7.26% (+0.36)
1-3 @ 4.75% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 4.31% (+0.55)
2-3 @ 2.94% (+0.05)
Other @ 8.91% (+1.05)
Total : 45.89%