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Stoke logo
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Millwall logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Millwall

Brown (41')
Batth (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wallace (36'), Bennett (71')
Wallace (90+3')

Preview: Stoke City vs. Millwall - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Something has to give at the bet365 Stadium on Monday afternoon as Stoke City and Millwall both look to extend their winning streaks in the Championship.

Both sides have won back-to-back league matches and are locked on the same number of points in mid-table, with the top six not yet out of reach.


Match preview

Stoke City's Jacob Brown celebrates scoring their first goal on March 20, 2021© Reuters

Stoke's wins over Derby County and Bristol City either side of the international break has lifted them up to 11th, eight points adrift of the playoffs.

Goals from Nick Powell and Fletcher in either half earned the Potters a routine victory at Ashton Gate in Friday's clash with Bristol City.

A top-six finish is not entirely out of the question just yet, but Michael O'Neill's men will have to win the vast majority of their remaining seven games for that to happen.

City have kept clean sheets in those two victories and also held Cardiff City 0-0, making it three shutouts on the spin.

At home, meanwhile, they have won four of their last five - the exception being a 2-1 loss to Swansea City - keeping a clean sheet in each of those victories.

Millwall's Shaun Hutchinson celebrates after scoring their first goal on March 13, 2021© Reuters

Millwall also enter this game on the back of consecutive wins without conceding, following up victory against Middlesbrough with a win by the same 1-0 scoreline versus Rotherham United.

Jed Wallace fired Gary Rowett's men to victory against Rotherham after Richard Wood was earlier sent off, though Bartosz Bialkowski deserves just as much credit as the goalscorer as he saved a late penalty.

Away from home, Millwall have won only one of their last four and went down 3-2 to London rivals Queens Park Rangers in their most recent away game.

The Lions have found the net in each of their last 10 away league games, however, which is the longest current ongoing such run in the Championship.

If Millwall are to keep their own faint playoff hopes alive then they will have to improve on a return of just one win in their last 11 league meetings with Stoke.

Stoke City Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Millwall Championship form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Millwall's Kenneth Zohore celebrates scoring against Preston North End in the Championship on October 28, 2020© Reuters

James McClean was back in the matchday squad for Stoke's win at Bristol City after recovering from a foot injury, but he was an unused substitute at Ashton Gate.

The Irishman is in contention to return to the side on Monday, while Joe Allen's season-long layoff will likely see Powell continue to operate in central midfield.

Jacob Brown partnered Steven Fletcher last time out, but Sam Vokes - a second-half substitute at Ashton Gate - is in contention to return to the lineup here.

As for the visitors, Ryan Leonard remains sidelined, but Maikel Kieftenbeld and Kenneth Zohore returned from injury as substitutes against Rotherham.

Shaun Hutchinson left the pitch in the first half on Friday and could be replaced by Alex Pearce here.

Connor Mahoney and Jon Dadi Bodvarsson are two others pushing for inclusion at the bet365 Stadium.

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Davies; Chester, Souttar, Batth; Smith, Powell, Mikel, Thompson, Norrington-Davies; Vokes, Fletcher

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Pearce, Wallace, Cooper; McNamara, Evans, Woods, Mitchell, Malone; Bennett, Wallace


SM words green background

We say: Stoke City 0-0 Millwall

Stoke and Millwall have won back-to-back matches and they are level on points in the table, making this one very tough to call.

Both sides have strong defensive records of late, while three of the last four league meetings between Stoke and Millwall have ended goalless, so we are backing a stalemate here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



ID:441709:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9175:
Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City
58.7%
Draw
23.9%
Millwall
17.4%
46
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7Middlesbrough209473425931
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9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
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15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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